South Coast

Easterly winds are making a mess on the South Coast this morning, and again everywhere is looking very summer wind-effected. Surf is 3 – 4′ between Middleton and Goolwa but it’s just all over the place and looking terrible. Chiton / Gap have messy 2′ surf, Waits and Parson’s will be bigger and Parsobn’s at least will offer some shelter and solid waves in beside the point. The BoM predicts Southerly winds in the 20 knot plus range for the rest of the day, so the slops are not leaving anytime soon. Wave heights will remain similar all day. Check the surf forecast to see how the weekend is looking. Shred factor 3/10

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Mid Coast

Conditions have cleaned up on the Mid Coast overnight with winds back around to the East at 10 knots, but the swell looks small. There are rare 1′ waves hitting a few of the reefs, but it’s looking very full and the wait is long. High tide is at 0840, and the outgoing tide after9am is not going to help much. The wind will swing to the South by early arvo, and pick up to 20 knots or so again. That will chop it up along exposed stretches, but South Port will offer partial shelter later in the day. Wave heights will remain in the sub-1′ range all day. Check the surf forecast to see how the weekend is looking. Shred factor 3/10

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South Coast

Onshore S winds are already 20 knots on the South Coast, and everywhere is mush. Surf is 3′ between Middleton and Goolwa, but again, a grovel in the Bay is the only option there. Chiton / Gap have messy 2′ surf, Waits and Parson’s will be bigger but no cleaner than anywhere else. The BoM predicts SSW winds in the 20 knot range for the rest of the day, so the slops are here to stay. Swell may lift by a foot or so after lunch, in case you’re really hard up for a surf. Outlook for the next few days is in the latest surf forecast. Shred factor 3/10

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Mid Coast

The wind is from the South on the Mid Coast early at around 7 knots, and it’s already adding a bit of a lump to the swell. Surf has picked up to 1′ with occasional bigger sets, but it’s not as clean as it could be. High tide is just after 8am, then the drain out until low tide at 3:45pm. SSW winds will start to build not long after sun-up, and by early arvo could be over 25 knots. That will really rip into it and chop up anywhere exposed for the rest of the day. South Port will offer partial shelter from the wind at its southern end. Surf will probably be 1 – 2′ by late arvo, but it’s most likely not gonna clean up on the reefs for the rest of the day. Outlook for the next few days is in the latest surf forecast. Shred factor 4/10

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Mid Coast

The swell has lifted slightly on the Mid Coast overnight, in the wake of yesterday’s flatness. The wind is light from the SE, and there are a few 1′ waves on the reefs coming up to high tide just before 8am. It’s already looking fill and fat, and it’ll stay like that until the tide starts draining out after 9am. A few other spots may improve wit less water mid-morning as the swell lifts slightly, but low tide at lunch will expose a lot of reef and limit options mostly to the beach breaks of Trigs. Not long after, a fresh Southerly wind will kick in ( if not before ) and add chop to anywhere exposed. The southern end of South Port will offer some shelter. It looks like the breeze will stay up into the evening, but there’s always the chance of a land breeze cleaning it up again for a late paddle. Outlook for the next few days is in the latest surf forecast. Shred factor 5/10

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South Coast

The wind has turned onshore on the South Coast overnight, and it’s mush this morning with South winds at 15 – 20 knots. Surf is up to 3 – 4′ between Middleton and Goolwa, but a grovel in the Bay is about the only option there.Chiton / Gap have messy 2′ surf, Waits and Parson’s will be bigger but quality will be just nasty ’round that side of the coast. It’s not gonna improve anytime soon, with SSE winds up to 25 knots after lunch predicted. Everywhere will stay mushy all day, desperados only need apply. Outlook for the next few days is in the latest surf forecast. Shred factor 3/10

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South Coast

It’s actually looking alright on the South Coast early with no wind, and a fairly clean, well lined-up swell. It won’t last. Surf is around 2′ at Middleton, with a few bigger sets breaking between Day St. and Goolwa. Chiton / Gap and slightly wobbly / glassy at around 2′, Waits and Parson’s will be bigger but possibly already feeling the effects of light onshore winds. The breeze will start to pick up from the South anytime from now on, and most likely by mid-morning it’ll revert to the usual summer mess. There may be an hour or two in it early though, worth it given how the rest of the week is looking. More on that in the latest surf forecast. Shred factor 6/10

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Mid Coast

The Mid Coast is smooth early with offshore East winds around 10 knots, but there’s not a lot on offer with the swell running out of puff overnight. Surf is barely 1′ on the reefs and most spots are not even breaking coming up to high tide just before 7am. Nothing much will change once the tide begins to drain out after 9am, but low tide at lunch should reveal a few 1′ peelers on the beach breaks. The breeze will swing more southerly and add some bumps after lunch, but the incoming tide should get a few lines of new swell. It may not be until quite late, but if the wind goes SE in the evening there could be an opening there. New surf forecast is up. Shred factor 1/10

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SA surf outlook Jan 13

For the record, let’s call Jan 13th a blind spot in the forecast series for 2020. It was all good to go last night, but for a number of inexplicable reasons, the publish button never got hit… and the possibilities for the day were down to idol speculation and a wider knowledge of wind and weather patterns in drought summers. For the record… fading 1′ waves were predicted on the Mid Coast (  not a brave call by any stretch ) and 3′ Middleton with NE winds mid-morning were predicted on the South Coast. As it turns out, this would have been the only offshore day between Goolwa and Parson’s in the forecast period.

The first cyclone for 2020 has appeared off the NW coast of Australia, and it’ll feed in a lot of moisture over the next few days – even bringing some rain to bushfire ravaged areas of Victoria and NSW. A series of troughs will drift across SA, and throughout the week the wind will fluctuate between the East and the South.

The Mid Coast will be similar to this morning early on Tuesday – clean with light SE winds but a bit full with surf around 1′ on high-tide reefs. The swell should hold around 3′ at Middleton but the wind will probably be light onshore early, building to 15 knots and really chopping it up after lunch. The swell will lift on The Mid after lunch courtesy of some new WSW swell, and waves may be 1 – 2′ by evening. West facing breaks over at Yorkes will be fun Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday should see a few 1 – 2′ waves on the Mid Coast, but at this stage, the wind looks like it’ll be almost dead south at 15 knots early. Most of the reefs will be bumpy if the wind is that strong from that direction, but there’s always a chance of a brief sou-easter early.  The South Coast should have waves around 4′ at Middelton, but with 15 knot onshores picking up to 20 knots plus later, conditions will be dreadful. West facing breaks over at Yorkes will have decent swell, but you’ll need to find somewhere sheltered from a fresh southerly.

Thursday should open to a 10 – 15 knot sou-easter across the Fleurieu, and a few lingering 1 – 2′ waves on the Mid Coast. The swell will drop slightly on the South Coast , but a building southerly wind will offset that with chop. Middleton will be 3 – 4′ and sloppy. West facing breaks at Yorkes will be good in the morning, but as the south wind picks up with gusts over 25 knots, it’ll deteriorate.

The wind should have more East in it early on Friday so the Mid Coast will be clean, but the swell will have dropped overnight and surf will be around 1′. It’ll probably be smaller on the South Coast too, with 2′ waves at Middleton and brown, lumpy conditions thanks to the East wind.

Saturday looks Easterly as well, so the lumps will continue on the South Coast with Middleton around 1 – 2′. The Mid Coast will have Mally waves on the reefs of around 1′ and East winds in the 10 knot range for much of the day.

The wind will be favorable for west-facing breaks over at Yorkes Friday – Sunday, the swell won’t exactly be huge but you should find somewhere breaking well enough to get wet.

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South Coast

The South Coast is showing signs of improvement and the wind is light offshore for the first time in days, although a long run of sou-easters has left it lumpy. The swell is lining up a bit better this morning, and surf is around 3′ at Middleton, with some bigger sets breaking between Day St. and Goolwa. Chiton / Pap and peaky at around 2′, Waits and Parson’s will be bigger, but still a bit wobbly. There’s definitely a bit of a window mid-morning after a couple of hours of offshore straighten it up, but don’t leave it too late. Onshore sea breezes are expected to kick in around midday ( possibly late morning ) and quality will revert to the usual slops not long after that. Shred factor 6/10

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