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In the lead up to Xmas 2020, and after such a shitty year, I’d like to offer you a bit of cheer for the festive season. Unfortuately, I ain’t got much.
The last week has seen SA in the grip of the sort of weather we expect on the Fleurieu in November – day after day of howling S-SE winds on the South Coast, and no waves on the Mid Coast. There’s a minor reprieve on Sunday, but it looks like the E-SE airstream will be with us for several days more.
On the synoptic chart you’ll see a very slow-moving tropical low over NW WA, and that will have a strong influence on our weather over the next few days. We should expect heavy rain across much of the country early next week, with a fresh southerly airstream.
This weekend will kick off with light ESE winds on Saturday, it’ll be clean on the Mid Coast but surf will only be half a foot in the morning. Surf should be in the 2 – 3′ range at Middleton but lumpy, with Parson’s probably your best bet. The wind will swing more Southerly and pick up after lunch, reducing options for quality to zero. Sunday looks very similar.
The wind will be SSW at 17 knots early on Monday, and the Mid Coast will be bumpy and again, pretty well flat. The South Coast will be badly wind affected all day, with mush around 2′ at Middleton.
There will be a slight lift along west-facing coasts on Tuesday, and the Mid Coast might have a few 1′ waves. Winds will be SSE at 10 knots early, picking up to 17 knots from the SSW after lunch. West facing breaks over at Yorkes might be OK early Tuesday. The swell will be bigger on the South Coast but it’ll be messy with surf possibly up to 4′ at Middleton.
The wind should be more SE and light early on Wednesday. The Mid Coast will probably manage to conjure a 1′ Mally wave again, Middleton will be lumpy / glassy in the morning at around 3′. Fresh Southerly winds will kick in again after lunch, possibly blowing up to 22 knots.
The wind will probably be from the SE on Thursday, 10 knots early but more likely shifting Southerly after lunch and picking up. The Mid Coast looks like it might maintain 1′ waves, with messy 2 – 3′ surf at Middleton.
There’s a chance we’ll see more summery weather and possibly Northerly winds by next weekend. It won’t happen before then.