SA surf outlook Nov 26

Not gonna lie… early in the week I thought west-facing coastlines would pump on Thursday, I gave it an even change of being the best day in November for the Mid Coast, and I expected thumping waves over at Yorkes.  As I type, winds are perfect… but the Mid Coast is only waist high. It’s better over at Yorkes, and many spots with SW exposure have doubled in size this afternoon.  The same on the South Coast, albeit with onshore winds.

A weak change is on the cards this weekend, and a stormy should arrive mid-week. In between will be up and down.

On Friday winds should be light SE early, picking up from the North not long after sunrise.  There may be a brief window for some 1 – 1.5′ waves on the Mid Coast early, but the South Coast mid-morning might be a better option. There’s a solid swell running tonight and wave heights will probably be 4 – 5′ at Middleton in the morning. It should clean up between 10am and midday with North winds at  10 knots. Pretty much anywhere on the lower Yorke Peninsula will be good on Friday.

Early Saturday the wind will be from the East on the Mid Coast, and it’ll be clean early. Surf will probably only be around 1′, west-facing breaks over at Yorkes will be clean and 2 – 5′. The South Coast will probably be slightly Easterly wind affected ahead of a SW change around midday. The change will chop up most of the Fleurieu coast after lunch.

The sou-wester will continue into Sunday morning and the Mid Coast will be bumpy early. Surf should be in the 1 – 2′ range, building after lunch. Down South it’ll be bumpy as well, with surf in the 3′ range at Middleton. The bay may offer part-shelter.

The working week will kick off with light East winds on Monday morning, and clean, glassy conditions on the Mid Coast.  Surf will probably only be 1′ on the Mid, and lumpy / glassy 3′ at Middleton. Once again, west-facing breaks over at Yorkes will be good.

A pre-frontal Northerly will be up early on Tuesday, probably over 22 knots not long after sunrise.  The Mid Coast will be bumpy and only 1′, Middleton will be around 3′ but most of the South Coast will probably be blown out by 8am. The swell will build down South all day, but with offshore winds gusting to 27 knots, it’ll be better for kite surfing. The swell should lift on the Mid Coast after lunch, for metro fans of wind-powered surfing.

We’ll be back to fresh sou-west winds early on Wednesday, the Mid will have semi-stormy conditions and surf in the 2 – 3′ range. Surf on the Soth Coast shp=ould lift to around 4′ at Middleton, so the Bay may be an option after lunch provided the wind has enough West in it.

Thursday will probably be the tail end of the front with SW-S winds at 22 knots early, easing later in the day. The Mid Coast will have messy 1 – 2′ surf, the South Coast should offer 3 – 4′ waves ta Middleton, but messy with onshore conditions.

It should improve heading into summer’s first weekend.

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SA surf outlook Nov 20

Well… that was a crazy 34 hours, wasn’t it?!  On Wednesday afternoon a party atmosphere descended over most SA Coastal regions, and there were waves pretty much everywhere. But Huey mocked us on what should have been day one of a 6 day lockdown, delivering the best day the South Coast has seen in months on Thursday. Across the state, perfect waves went unridden… all day.

As I type the party has resumed, and there are small, clean waves on the Mid Coast. There were people paddling out at Middleton Bay halfway through the press conference today at 11:30, and by 2pm everywhere was chokkers. The weekend will probably be busy again, given everyone now has to go back to work and school on Monday.

Saturday will open to light ENE winds and clean, glassy conditions on the Mid Coast – but fading swell. The full tide early Saturday will limit options too, but there will be 1′ waves and occasional bigger sets on selected reef breaks. The East in the wind will probably leave a few lumps on the South Coast, but it’ll straighten up after lunch as the wind tends more Northerly.  Middleton looks in the 2′ range, but it’ll be bigger around at Waits and Parson’s. Just bear in mind that a drive to Middleton might not pass the “essential travel” test while some COVID-19 restrictions remain in place…

On Sunday we’ll be back to a less restricted state and the South Coast will be nice and clean with offshore NNW winds at 10 knots early, picking up to 15 knots mid-morning.  The wind will add bumps on the Mid Coast, and it’ll probably only be 1′ or so – building to 2′ later in the day. A Westerly change after lunch will swing the wind onshore on the Mid, and cross-shore at Victor.

The wind will go ’round to the South Sunday night and the working week will open to SSW winds at 15 knots. The Mid Coast will be 1′ and probably a bit bumpy with 1′ waves and occasional bigger sets Monday morning. Surf on the South Coast will be wind affected with Middleton around 2′.

Tuesday morning looks like it’ll kick off with very light WSW winds and 1′ waves and a few light bumps on the Mid Coast. Conditions will be semi-clean between Goolwa and Port Elliot early with surf around 1 – 2′ at Middleton. Conditions will deteriorate as the wind shifts onshore from the South and picks up to 15 knots.

Clean conditions should prevail over the Fleurieu and Yorke Peninsulas all day on Wednesday, with light NNE winds.  The Mid Coast will remain in the 1′ range, and there will be clean 2′ waves at Middleton and bigger sets around at Waitpinga and Parson’s.

Northerly winds will pick up on Thursday, adding bumps on the Mid Coast in the morning. Surf should pick up from 1 – 2′ early with a few bigger sets on the incoming tide after lunch. Surf should be clean and around 2′ at Middleton in the morning, but by late arvo it should build to 3 – 4′. Definitely worth keeping a late one up your sleeve.

Winds will be more NW on Friday and probably stronger, with another front due heading into the weekend. For what is typically the worst month for surf in SA, it could be a lot worse. Get out and enjoy it!

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SA surf outlook Nov 12

Wow… mother nature certainly put on a great light show last night, and 4 years to the day since the great storm of 2016! SA is back to sprintery weather off the back of the cold front, but the weather will moderate over the next few days.

This evening the wind has eased from the West and there are bumpy shoulder high waves on the Mid Coast. The swell has lifted marginally on the South Coast and it’s semi-clean with surf around 2′ at Middleton.

The wind will be more W-SW early on Friday, probably 12 – 15 knots for most of the day. The Mid Coast will have messy leftover 2′ waves, and Middleton will have surf around 3′. The Bay might be OK for a paddle with winds mostly out of the west.

Winds will be light and tending Northerly early on Saturday.  The Mid Coast will have fading swell and 1′ waves, maybe the odd rare bigger set in the morning when the tide co-operates. Surf on the South Coast should be clean and around 2′ at Middleton, possibly becoming lumpy after lunch as the wind tends more East in direction.

Sunday morning should produce clean conditions on the South Coast with  NW winds at 10 – 15 knots. Surf should be in the 1 – 2′ range at Middleton, but after lunch it should build by a foot or so.  The Mid Coast will be bumpy with the NW wind, and probably around 1′ all day. The wind will swing W at lunch then SW -S by late arvo, so make sure you head south early.

A 17 knot SW wind on Monday morning will be less than great, and the Mid Coast will only have messy 1′ surf. It also doesn’t look great on the South Coast with cross-onshore winds and surf around 1 – 2′ at Middleton. The wind should be very light from the West early on Tuesday, and a new WSW swell should lift wave heights on the Mid Coast to 2′ after lunch. The swell direction won’t be great for the South Coast, and surf is probably only going to be 1′ at Middleton.  Tuesday / Wednesday is the pick of it for a dash to Yorkes.

The wind will be ENE on Wednesday morning, tending Northerly after lunch but remaining light all day.  There should be some leftover 1 – 2′ waves on the Mid Coast, an size should lift to 2 – 3′ at Middleton. It’ll probably be cleaner after lunch on the South Coast.

A Northerly will kick in on Thursday and it’ll be a warm day, with bumpy 1′ waves on the Mid Coast. It’ll be clean on the South Coast, with surf around 1 – 2′ at Middleton. At this stage, it looks like another change might arrive toward the end of the week.

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SA surf outlook Nov 6

Another week of Sprintery weather has rolled by in Southoz, but it looks like we’ll get a summer entree over coming days.

The run of SE-S winds has not been kind to the South Coast over the last week, and it’s been mostly messy and onshore. The direction has been better for the Mid Coast and Yorkes, but the Mid has struggled to top 1′ all week. West-facing breaks over on YP have been the pick of it.

Looking at the synoptic you’ll notice a large high moving west to east, unlike the low last week that actually went the other way.  It’ll bring improving / warmer weather and Northerlies early next week, but the weekend is still looking a bit dodgy.

The wind will be ESE at 5 knots early on Saturday, so it’ll be lumpy on the South Coast but probably around 4′ at Middleton. The Mid Coast will only be around 1′, and it’ll be very full and slow at 7am through high tide.  West facing breaks over at Yorkes should be clean and surfable though.

The wind should have a bit more North in it on Sunday, but it won’t be enough to straighten up the swell from Middleton to Goolwa.  The wind will be light all day, and Middleton will be 3 – 4′ in the morning, backing off after lunch. The Mid Coast might manage a few 1′ sets in the morning, but it’ll be pretty inconsistent.

A Northerly will come with warmer weather for the start of the week, and Middleton should be in the 2 – 3′ range early on Monday. It’ll most likely have some leftover wobble in the swell, and it’ll ease after lunch. The Mid Coast will be small, probably only 0.5′.

Tuesday will finally be dead offshore on the South Coast with Northerlies around 15 knots in the morning. The temperature should get into the 30’s by lunchtime and it’ll be clean from Goolwa to Parson’s – but small. At this stage, the Middleton side is looking like it’ll only manage waves around 1′, so your best bet is to check the other side of Victor. The Mid Coast will only be half a foot and bumpy in the morning from the wind. The breeze looks like it will ease after lunch, and possibly even drop out around 2 – 3pm.

Wednesday is an in-between day with possible showers during the day, and Northerlies around 17 knots in the morning, tending fresh NW after lunch.  The Mid Coast will start out very small, but might build to 2’+ by late arvo. There’s a chance of light winds in the morning. The South Coast again looks small, with Middleton in the 1′ range for most of the day, although it will be clean.

The wind is looking Westerly on Thursday, at this stage in the 15 – 20 knot range. The Mid Coast will be messy, but a good WSW swell should deliver waves possibly up to 3′ in the morning. It might be worth checking a few part sheltered spots early.  The swell should also be bigger along the South Coast, and with a west wind Middleton bay could be alright after lunch. The swell will start out small, but should build after lunch to deliver 4′ waves at Middleton by late arvo.

Conditions should moderate into Friday, but that’s a fair way off and it might all change between now and then.

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SA surf outlook Oct 29

To quote the old 80’s song by Supertramp… it’s raining again. But at least it’s not flat, right?

A change rolled through SA today and the wind is onshore from the West and back to 10 knots Thursday evening. Surf did build to 2′ on the Mid Coast but it was messy as the wind kicked in, and the new swell was still missing the South Coast at sunset.

A Southerly wind should arrive overnight, and it’ll be fresh early on Friday morning.  The Mid Coast should have 2′ surf, but anywhere exposed to the wind will be messy. The swell will pick up on the South Coast, and wave heights may be 4′ by late arvo – but quality will be atrocious.

Conditions will moderate heading into the weekend.

The breeze will be moderate SE early on Saturday, and there’s a chance of some leftovers on the Mid Coast. It’ll be clean, but most likely the outgoing tide will kill it by mid-morning.  Wave heights should be around 3′ at Middleton, but it’ll be messy with the onshore SSE wind at 15 knots.

Early Sunday morning should be clean and glassy on the Mid Coast with ESE winds at 5 – 7 knots.  The leftover WSW swell might manage a few 1′ waves on selected reefs in the morning, but the outgoing tide will kill what remains of the swell after a couple of hours. The South Coast looks like it’ll be lumpy / glassy, with surf around 2′ at Middleton. The weekend looks alright for a dash over to Yorkes.

The South Coast should finally see offshore winds on Monday morning, with a 7 knot Nor-easter tending Northerly and remaining under 10 knots after lunch. The swell will be smaller and poorly aimed, so Middleton is looking in the 1 – 2′ range early, easing to 1′ after lunch. Waits and Parson’s are probably your best bets on Monday.   The Mid Coast will be semi-clean and might manage a few 1′ waves when the tide plays nicely.

The Northerly airstream looks like running into Tuesday, so the South Coast will be clean again. Unfortunately, the swell looks small and Middleton probably won’t top 1′ all day. Waits or Parson’s will be worth a look though, both beaches should be nice and clean for most of the day. The Mid Coast will probably have some Northerly wobble and surf only around shin-high.

Another front is headed for SA later in the week, and a westerly change on Wednesday will swing the wind onshore again on the Mid Coast, and cross-shore down South. The Mid Coast will be bumpy 1′ in the morning, but should build to 2′ plus after lunch. The South Coast will be small early – around 1′ and clean at Middleton, lifting to maybe 2′ or so after lunch.

At this stage, Thursday looks like a small stormy on the Mid Coast with W-SW winds at 25 knots and messy surf in the 2 – 3′ range. Wave heights should build to around 4′ at Middleton by late arvo, so Dribs Bay might be worth a look.

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SA surf outlook Oct 23

Let’s not kid ourselves… last weekend was mostly a shitshow as far as surf in SA goes, and the week that followed was far from epic. There were a few sneaky little opportunities amongst the relentless run of gusty ESE – SSE wind. West facing breaks over at Yorkes have at least been clean and surfable over the last two days, and a few spots in the chilly South East have also been alright. Even the fickle Mid Coast got above 6 inches late on Thursday, as bravely suggested in last week’s forecast.

This weekend though, again, ain’t looking great…

A large HIGH will move into SA on Saturday, and ahead of it we’ll get some rain. We’ll also get fresh Southerly winds on Saturday, and the strong onshores will make a mess of a building swell on the South Coast. It’ll be 5′ later, but a complete mess everywhere. The wind will also add bumps on the Mid Coast, but it probably won’t be much over 0.5 – 1′ anyway.

The breeze will be more SE on Sunday, tending more from the East after lunch. The Mid Coast and West-facing breaks over at Yorkes will be clean, but the Mid will be flat and anywhere offshore at Yorkes will also be small. The South Coast might be 5 – 6′ in the morning, but Middleton – Goolwa will be a mess.  There are some part sheltered options that might be worth a look though.

The working week will kick off with ESE winds at 15 knots Monday morning, easing off after lunch. The Mid Coast’s run of flatness will continue, and Middleton will have a fading wind affected swell and lumpy 4′ surf. The wind will stay out of the East on Tuesday, ESE in the morning at 7 knots tending SE at 10 knots later. The Mid Coast will stay flat, and an easing SSW swell will leave lumpy 2 – 3′ waves at Middleton.

Wednesday is probably the first chance of semi-clean conditions on the South Coast.  Conditions will be clean and glassy on the Mid Coast, but again, it’ll probably be dead flat. The wind might even be NE in the morning and should be light, before shifting Southerly at 10 – 12 knots after lunch. The Mid Coast will be flat again, and a fading swell will leave lumpy / glassy 1 – 2′ waves at Middleton. Parson’s may be the pick of it Wednesday.

Some new WSW swell should start to sneak in on Thursday, and the wind looks light and variable. The swell direction will probably favour west-facing breaks, so Yorkes might be the go. Even the Mid Coast should lift from complete and utter flatness, and conditions should be fairly clean all day. Friday looks like Northerly winds at this stage, but that’s a way off. Let’s see what happens over the next few days.  Enjoy a no-surf grand final weekend.

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SA surf outlook Oct 15

October has been pretty good to SA surfers so far. West-facing coasts have had a great run over the last two weeks, but even the South Coast has faired unseasonably well given the usual endless run of sou-easters this time of year is infamous for.  The next week is a bit of  mixed bag, and the weekend looks pretty sketchy, to be honest.

The wind will be light from the East early on Friday, and the Mid Coast will be clean-  but surf will only be around 1′. The East wind will add lumps on the South Coast but surf should be around 3′ at Middleton – building after lunch. As a bonus, the wind looks like it will swing to the NW which could mean building swell and improving conditions. it may *not* happen, of course… but it’s probably your last chance for clean conditions down south for a few days.

Metnerds will notice we may well have another cut-off Low forming over the weekend, and if that happens expect similar weather and surf to the first week of October. Southerly winds will be 15 – 20 knots all day on Saturday, and the South Coast will be a mess. Middleton should be around 3′. The Mid Coast will still probably only have waves around 1′.

Sunday is not looking a whole lot better, with SE winds around 7 knots picking up after lunch. The Mid Coast will probably only have surf around 0.5′, and conditions will be lumpy down South with Middleton in the 2 – 3′ range.

The wind will be light from the East for the start of the week, around 7 knots early picking up to 15 knots after lunch. Surf will be messy and around 2- 3′ at Middleton, and the Mid will only be around 0.5′.

The wind will be light from the East on Monday morning, tending SSE at 15 knots after lunch. The Mid Coast might lift to around 1′ and it’ll be clean early. Middleton will have surf around 3′, probably lumpy/glassy on the morning becoming messy after lunch as the onshore wind picks up.

Tuesday should have light winds all day, tending Easterly early and becoming variable after lunch. Tuesday / Wednesday are probably a good little window for Yorkes.  A new WSW swell will lift wave heights on the Mid Coast from 1′ in the morning to more than 1′ after lunch, and it should be clean all day. The swell will be bigger down South as well, with surf around 4′ building after lunch. The wind will be light E-NE on Wednesday, and the Mid Coast might produce some clean 1 – 2′ waves after lunch. The swell direction won’t be as good for the Sout Coast, and Middleton will probably only manage surf around 2′.

The swell should be bigger on Thursday with 2′ waves on the Mid Coast, and 4′ surf at Middleton. Winds look light-moderate E- NE, but the error bars on that prediction are pretty large. In any case, it does look like favourable winds and good swell direction for west-facing coasts around Thursday.

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SA surf outlook Oct 8

You might have noticed, it’s been slightly damp lately? As Australia stares down the barrel of developing La Niña weather pattern it’s probably to be expected… but October 2020 is looking like a record-breaker. The first week has already broken all prior record rainfall for the month, but we might even give the 1980 record of 105mm a scare if this keeps up.  So you might wonder… what does this mean for surf?

I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again… west-facing Southoz coasts are always good in the year a La Niña forms. The trade-off is that they are crap the year ( or two ) after. That certainly seems to have been the case so far, with a fabulous run of clean swell and good waves over at Yorks and that other peninsula – in just the first 8 days of the month. Heck, even the Mid Coast has had more surfable days than not, kicking off with an absolute thumper of a swell on Thursday the 1st.

The next forecast period looks alright as well.

The stormy will be in its death throes on Friday, and the wind will be back to 10 – 12 knots from the West.  The Mid Coast will be bumpy with the onshore wind and around 2′ in the morning, but a new WSW swell might deliver a few bigger sets on the incoming tide later in the day. The light – moderate cross-shore wind will be OK for Middleton Bay / Point and the part-sheltered Waits Point, and surf should be around 3 – 4′ at Middleton.

The weekend looks pretty good for the South Coast.

It’ll be semi-clean from Waits to Goolwa early on Saturday with a light NW wind tending Westerly at 12 knots after lunch.  Surf should be in the 3′ range at Middleton. The Mid Coast will also have some WSW swell but the West in the breeze will probably add a few lumps to waves around 2′.

The breeze will have more East in it on Sunday, and that may add few lumps on the South Coast early.  The good news is winds will go light and variable after 11am and stay that way all day – possibly creating glassy conditions over the Mid Coast and Yorkes. Speaking of which, it’s not a few days to head over. Middleton will be smaller than Saturday but should have clean 2’+ waves in the morning, easing after lunch.  The Mid Coast will be 1 – 2′ in the morning, but there may be a minor pulse on the incoming tide.

Back-to-school week will see more East in the wind, offshore and clean on the Mid Coast with surf holding around 1 – 2′ on Monday. Quiet west facing breaks at Yorkes FTW. The East in the wind will bring some sprig lumps to the South Coast, Middleton should be around 2 – 3′, Parson’s will be bigger and better suited to the wind.

Tuesday looks better on the South Coast with a 2 – 5 knot North wind shifting NW and picking up to maybe 10 knots late morning. Middleton should be back up to around 3 – 4′, but the Mid Coast should also manage a few 2′ sets when teh tide co-operates. The wind won’t be perfect but it won’t make too much of a mess, hopefully. There’ll be no shortage of options in the Innes N.P.

A trough will turn winds to the SE overnight and on Wednesday it’ll probably be 10 – 15 knots. The Mid Coast will be clean but wave heights will beback to one foot or so. Middleton will also have an in-between day, with lumpy surf around 2′.

The wind looks more Easterly on Thursday at this stage, but that could all change by early next week. There’s still plenty of options over the next few days. Enjoy these pre- La Niña days and weeks… because the year after is sure to suck.

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SA surf outlook Oct 2

Last week’s forecast went a bit off the rails toward the end of the period, but you’d have to say, if it had to happen it happened in a good way. October has so far produced two great days of surf across most of Southoz, including a surprisingly solid swell on the Mid Coast  Friday arvo.  As a bonus, the Northerly that had maintained some bumps all day finally gave up at 4pm, glassing off the gulf a treat, delivering glassy head-high sets to most of the reefs. So the billion-dollar question as we head into the first long weekend in yonks is, will this run continue?

A trough is heading in from the west and it’ll probably arrive on Saturday night. Ahead of it, winds will be from the North and probably 15 knots on the Mid Coast. There’ll be swell and a few 2′ waves, but South looks better tomorrow. The swell is clean and perfectly lined up from Goolwa to Parson’s this evening, and tomorrow looks about the same. The offshore won’t be too strong either – just enough to keep it smooth, and waves should be in the 3′ range at Middleton.  The wind will start to drop after lunch, and there’s a good chance of a glass off at some stage. For the South Coast, Saturday is the pick of the period.

Sunday will dawn to a light Southerly breeze, probably under 5 knots but building to 20 knots after lunch.  The Mid Coat might be glassy for a while in the morning, but gradually it’ll become bumpy as the wind picks up. Surf should remain in the 2′ range. There’s a slim chance it’ll be glassy on the South Coast with surf up to 3 – 4′ at Middleton, but it won’t last. Fresh southerlies will settle in by mid-morning and trash it for the rest of the day.

A 7 – 10 knot Southerly looks like maintaining a few bumps on the Mid Coast early Monday, but the wind should swing more SE after lunch and may be up around 17 knots at times. Surf will remain in the 2′ range. The South Coast will be messy with the onshore wind, Middleton will have surf in the 3 – 4′ range.

Tuesday / Wednesday are probably a good window for a Yorkes trip. The wind will be Easterly early Tuesday, tending SE at 15 knots after lunch. West-facing breaks will be fun, and even the Mid Coast will probably still manage a few 1 – 2′ waves.  The South Coast will be lumpy and the swell will be bigger – closer to 4 – 5′ at Middleton. Some lesser-known spots west of Victor might be worth a gander.

The wind should be light on Wednesday, variable in the morning shifting SE at 5 – 7 knots after lunch. Surf will be smaller anywhere west-facing, the Mid Coast will be back to 1′ with rare bigger sets. Surf should be in the 3 – 4′ range at Middleton, and it may be glassy in the morning.

On Thursday the wind will probably be SE and in the 5 – 10 knot range, so the Mid Coast will be clean. There will be swell, but wave heights probably won’t get much over 1′. The swell will be more WSW in direction and surf at Middleton will most likely drop to 2′ or thereabouts. Cross-onshore winds will add lumps.

At this stage, Friday is looking like an in-between day with light / variable winds tending SE. Added to the mix is a new WSW swell due Friday / Saturday. That might all change between now and then, but there will be waves *somewhere* almost every day for the next week at least.

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SA surf outlook Sep 25

Remember around about this time last week I was banging on about West Coast troughs and cut-off lows, and the weather was kinda nice and sunny? Fast-forward to today when Mid-North towns have experienced snow-covered main streets, and many parts of Southoz have struggled to reach maximum temperatures in the double digits. Even as I’m typing it’s just started raining again… and seems like it has been for days. The surf has been alright on the South Coast at least.

Depending on your viewpoint, we are past the worst of it, and as we head into the first weekend of the dreaded school holidays the weather is looking more pleasant.

Early Saturday still looks a bit sketchy with clearing skies and 10 – 15 knot winds from the SSW.  The onshore breeze will chop up the South Coast, and the Mid Coast will drift into “fading stormy” mode. Middleton looks sloppy with surf in the 3′ range, and the Mid Coast will be bumpy and weak with messy waves around 1 – 2′.

The breeze will swing ENE overnight and it’ll be very light early on Sunday morning.  There won’t be much swell left on the Mid Coast, maybe a few 1′ Mally waves on the reefs that can handle a big morning tide. Conditions should be glassy on the South Coast early but there will be some leftover lump in the swell. Surf should be 3 – 4′ at Middleton in the morning, easing after lunch. Yorkes will be glassy and west-facing breaks will be clean all day – albeit with fading swell.

The ENE wind will pick up on Monday morning, and the Mid Coast will be clean – but pretty much flat. The 15 knot cross-offshore wind will add some lumps along the South Coast, but a more Southerly swell direction should see surf in the 3 – 4′ range at Middleton.  There might be spots west of Victor worth checking with that swell and that wind.

On Tuesday we’ll finally get back to a Northerly air stream, and the South Coast will be clean in the morning. The breeze should be around 10 – 15 knots at dawn, but it will build during the morning to 22 knots by the looks. Surf should remain in the 3′ range at Middleton, and it’s probably the cleanest day in the forecast period on the South Coast. The Northerly will add bumps on the Mid Coast, but don’t worry…  it’ll be flat.

The wind will have more West in it on Wednesday, 10 – 15 knots early and building to 20 knots later. The cross-offshore wind will be OK down South, but the swell is looking small and Middleton will probably only have surf around 1′.  The Mid Coast will be flat and bumpy.

Thursday will dawn to a fresh WSW wind around 25 knots, and a building swell on the Mid Coast. It’ll be messy with surf around 2′, building a bit after lunch. The South Coast will be slightly wind effected and probably blown out anywhere exposed – but not big enough for anywhere sheltered to break. Middleton is looking in the 2′ range.

A SW change will create bumpy conditions over the Fleurieu and Yorke Peninsulas on Friday, but the Mid Coast might conjure a stormy similar to yesterday ( Thursday ).

It’s looking hit-miss for the long weekend at this stage, but given how unpredictable the weather is at the moment, you never know what might happen. I’ll have more on that next week, once the picture is clearer.

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