Geez, I have heard a few whackyballz surf predictions for this weekend, so let me set the record straight and tell you… it’s gonna suck.
Most of the last week has been under the influence of a perfect early winter weather pattern. We got light winds, we got sunshine, we got a nice glassy day on the Mid and one clean, pumping swell down South. Take a moment to bask in that memory.
A LOW will cross Adelaide tonight, and the wind will be back to a moderate Nor-wester on Saturday morning. Ordinarily, that’d be good news for a winter Saturday on the South Coast, except for one tiny problem…. swell. When I say tiny… glorious 1′ Middleton awaits you tomorrow morning, and Waits isn’t looking much bigger. The wind will make the Mid Coast bumpy, and waves will also only be 1′.
I’d like to tell you Sunday will be better. It won’t.
Strong Westerlies will arrive before dawn with gusts to 30 knots. The Mid Coast will be choppy and onshore, and the wind might whip up some 2′ junk by morning bakery pie time. A very westerly swell will roll right by the South Coast, but Middleton might build from 1′ early to maybe 1 – 2′ later in the day. What a shame the wind will be dead onshore from the South by then at 15 knots. Choppy 1 – 2′ dross looks likely.
The wind will tend more Westerly for the start of the new week, and so will the swell direction. It may be clean on Monday morning on the South Coast, but surf at Middleton looks like it will remain in the 1′ range. The Mid Coast will be messy and onshore, and also only around 1′.
On Tuesday a Southerly airstream will kick in, 7 knots in the morning and maybe 7 – 10 knots SSE after 3pm. A new WSW swell should lift wave heights on the Mid Coast to 1 – 2′, but it will probably cop a few bumps from the wind. The South Coast’s dreadful run looks like it will continue, with 1′ slops at Middleton.
Like last week, Wednesday is a sort of in-between day.
The wind will be very light from the North early and the Fleurieu will be glassy – but small. The Mid Coast will only have waves around 1′. and Middleton probably won’t be any bigger. Waits or Parson’s will be your best bet.
Thursday will see a return to a more wintry Nor-wester at around 15 knots by sunrise. Surf will be bumpy and around 1′ on the Mid Coast, but it should build to 2′ after lunch ( and remain bumpy ). The swell will be very West again, so Middleton is looking in the 1′ range again, but really clean. Once again, small, clean waves at Waitpinga are probably your best bet.
Looking into the crystal ball, another WSW swell and cold fronts are lining up toward the end of the week, but that’s a long way off. Options will be limited over the next week, so hopefully you followed the absolutely excellent and completely flawless advice in last week’s forecast, and scored. Don’t forget to click those ads in appreciation. 😀