SA surf outlook Mar 17

Well, here we are in a post COVID-19 world where even bloody Leprechauns are running for cover and there’s not a green beer in sight because pubs are closing up everywhere.  Meanwhile, There’s talk in workplaces of “self-isolation”, and doing so might even be seen as virtuous. With that mind, why not just call in to work tomorrow, then load up the car and find some far-flung empty reef break 8 hours away? You won’t get much more self-isolated than that. You should do it for the greater good.  Go on.

As we go to (word) press, seas are smoooooth and glassy across two of SA’s bestest peninsulas – but swell is sadly lacking You had better brace yourself for more of the same in the short term.

SA is still in a bit of a transitional weather pattern where it’s neither summer nor autumn, so we have troughs and LOWs at high latitudes and not many strong, SW swell generating weather systems at lower latitudes. It will change after Easter, but for now it looks like  Northerly winds and small swell for the next couple of days.

On Wednesday winds will be light from the North early, picking up through the middle of the day and tending NW, then glassing off again mid arvo.  The Mid Coast will be flat again early, but might build to shin-high off low tide after 3pm.  The swell will remain small down South, and Middleton will only have waves around 1′.

The breeze will tend more NW on Thursday, 15 knots early but getting up over 25 knots through the middle of the day before shifting to the West and easing.   The Mid Coast will be dead flat, and your only hope on the South Coast will be Waitpinga at around 1′.

A SW change will roll through early Friday morning, and the Mid Coast will score some long-awaited new swell, Unfortunately, quality is not looking great with SW wind at 17 knots in the morning. The breeze should swing almost dead South by evening, which might be OK at the southern end of South Port.  The new swell won’t be great for the South Coast, but Middleton should build from around 1′ in the morning to 2′ after lunch. Quality is looking bad for the arvo with onshores in the 17 knot range.

The swell will be winding down heading into the weekend, but the Mid Coast might still manage some rare 1 – 2′ sets in the morning on Saturday. Winds will be SE at 10 knots, so it’ll be clean. New swell will be hitting the South Coast and Middleton should be around 4′, but it’ll be lumpy / messy with the dreaded sou-easters into it.

The swell will be solid on the South Coast early Sunday with waves around 5′, but quality will be poor again with SE winds at 10 knots picking up after lunch.  The Mid Coast will be clean, but waves will only be around 1′.

Heading into next week, winds will be Easterly on Monday morning and surf should still be in the 4- 5′ range at Middleton – just lumpy. The Mid Coast will be clean, but waves will only be around 1′. SW facing breaks over at Yorkes could be good over the weekend.

The middle of next week looks like it might fall in a bit of a hole swellwise, but it’s still a long way off.  Hopefully the situation changes for the better between now and then.

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